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February 2007

  Stock Taking

Attraction of Finance Companies

By Rabindra Bhattarai

Investors are being attracted to buy shares of finance companies that are upgrading themselves into development bank or commercial bank status. However, it would be prudent on the investors' part to evaluate the strategies of these companies.

During January 2007, share prices of finance company increased across the board. Though the price rise was only 5 per cent in some cases, some companies had a price rise as high as 80 percent. The result is that the shares of such companies have become really scarce. On the other hand, the market price of commercial banks changed marginally and most of the changes in this group of companies are negative. This indicates that the investors' attraction has shifted from commercial banks to finance companies.

Over the period, the market price of Kist Merchant Banking and Finance Company has increased the most (79.84 per cent) followed by IME Financial Institution Ltd.’s and Nepal Merchant Banking and Finance Company Ltd.’s.

The investors' increasing attraction toward finance companies can be attributed to the declaration by these companies that they are targeting to upgrade themselves into development and commercial banks. Some companies have already started this conversion process. Ace Finance Company Ltd. has changed its name into Ace Development Bank Ltd. in its recent AGM and started to raise capital through bonus shares and rights shares issues. The company distributed 40 per cent bonus shares for the fiscal year 2005/06 and has issued 1:1.53 rights shares amounting to Rs. 196 million to meet the Rs. 320 million paid up capital requirement to become a development bank. Similarly, Nepal Merchant Banking and Finance Company Ltd. and Development Credit Bank Ltd. have announced their plans to become commercial banks. Other companies planning to change into development banks are Kist Merchant Banking and Finance Company Ltd., Nepal Share Market and Finance Company Ltd. and World Merchant Banking and Finance Company Ltd.

One Month Return of some Commercial Banks

Companies

31/12/2006

31/01/2007

Change (%)

Standard Chartered Bank Nepal Ltd.

4650

4550

-2.15

Nabil Bank Ltd.

3330

3355

0.15

Nepal Investment Bank Ltd.

1210

1210

0

Nepal SBI Bank Ltd.

765

785

2.61

Everest Bank Ltd.

1887

1800

-4.61

Kumari Bank Ltd.

750

776

3.47

Siddhartha Bank Ltd.

630

640

1.59

Laxmi Bank Ltd.

550

540

-1.82

Bank of Kathmandu Ltd.

1078

1065

-1.21

Himalayan Bank Ltd.

1220

1100

-9.84

One Month Return of Some Finance Companies

Companies

31/12/2006

31/01/2007

Change (%)

Kist Merchant Banking & Finance Ltd.

367

660

79.084

Nepal Merchant Banking & Finance Ltd.

551

960

74.23

IME Financial Institution Ltd.

120

211

75.83

World Merchant Banking & Finance Ltd.

140

183

30.71

NIDC Capital Markets Ltd.

260

322

23.85

Central Finance Ltd.

200

210

5

Ace Finance Ltd.

400

445

11.25

United Finance Ltd.

166

243

46.39

Capital Merchant Banking & Finance Ltd.

105

143

36.19

Janaki Finance Ltd.

164

202

23.17

The other reason for the investors’ attraction is the lower price of these companies as compared to commercial banks. Added to it is the fact that these banks have reported better performance than some commercial banks. Many small investors are thus attracted to the low priced shares of these companies and the increasing demand has pushed their price up. In some finance companies, the promoters and employees of the respective companies are themselves buying their own companies’ shares.

For a long time, the market prices of finance companies were completely stagnant and the market was totally dominated by commercial banks. But during January, the finance companies’ index increased by over 19 percentage points whereas the banking sector index and NEPSE index decreased by 0.21 and 0.58 per cent respectively.

However, those investors who are paying higher prices to buy the shares of finance companies must be very careful because simply converting a finance company into a development bank or commercial bank will not guarantee returns. What matters more is the strategy that these finance companies are coming up with to face the growing competition in the entire financial services industry.


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